Hopefully everyone was able to read our preferred plays article and listen to the Lineup Logic podcast for yesterday’s MLB slate as all of the plays paid off really nicely! James McCann and Corey Seager both homered while Corey Kluber pitched a complete game shutout. With the MLB split up into an early-only and a main slate tonight, my focus is going back to the NBA Playoff slate that starts at 3:00 PM ET. Read more
Category Archives: NBA
What’s up guys, I’ll be filling in for Cody’s value plays for the NBA slate tonight and boy am I excited for these games! My Milwaukee Bucks will host the Raptors in game 3 of a 1-1 series, the Grizzlies and Spurs square off in Memphis and the Cavaliers travel to Indianapolis for a showdown with the Pacers in Bankers’ Life Fieldhouse. Read more
Tonight we have MIL/TOR, CHI/ BOS and UTA/LAC in action for this 3 game slate. As we all know anything can happen in the playoffs and this is where us fans see a lot of crazy things. But, for the most part this is the most stable time of year for DFS players. Minutes are tighter for the starters, usage numbers are at a high because each team wants the ball in their best players hands and matchups are for the most part the same because it’s a 7 game series.
Opening day of the NBA playoffs! We got a 4 game slate starting with IND/CLE, where Cleveland is favored by 8.5 pts. Next MIL/TOR, where Toronto is favored by 7 pts. MEM/SA is after that, where San Antonio is favored by 10 pts. This is the highest spread for any of the games today. Lastly UTA/LAC have a spread of 5.5 pts where the Clippers are favored. Let’s look for some playoff value!
Tony Parker $4,100 – Parker is in a great spot tonight because it’s the playoffs and he’ll get more minutes. In 2 games at home against the Grizz this year Parker hit 22.7 and 25.9 fps. He brings great value because he allows for some salary relief for your line up. He needs 20.5 fps to hit value and I don’t see why he can’t do that tonight.
Lance Stephenson $3,800 – I can’t wait to see Stephenson play this series. It looks like he’s found his groove again with IND. Also we all know how much he loves LeBron (see picture at top of article). Stephenson does a lot of things on the court, so at an easy $3,800 I believe he can hit value.
Thad Young $5,200 – Young has played much better as of late, he seemed to get lost for a bit in the middle of the season. In 9/10 games he’s scored 21 or more fps with the most being 39.3. Young has a nice matchup against Klove. In 2 games against the Cavs this year he’s scored 26.9 and 29.8 fps. Young is in a nice spot to hit value because he’ll force Love to play defense. Young is a slasher, who scores the ball well, I think he’ll be able to take whoever is matched up against him.
For our main slate tonight we have 5 games on tap. Only game that’s expected to get out of hand is the HOU/SAC game which favors Houston by 10.5. This slate is perfect size and has a lot of value available. Read more
Today we have a enormous 11 game slate! With such a huge slate late in the season it’s important to find games that have high o/u and to target teams that are fighting for playoff seeding or to get into the playoffs. Teams that have something to play for tomorrow Hornets, Wizards, Cavs, Pacers, Raptors, Bucks, Thunder, Bulls, Grizz and Blazers are all teams in that category. But, don’t rule out the teams that aren’t in the playoffs because this time of year injuries and playing players who don’t normally get a lot of time are common so gm’s can evaluate the current state of their roster. With that being said I’m going to have a lot of Value plays because there’s a lot of players in good spots!
Jamal Murray $3,700 – Murray is only in play if Jameer Nelson is held out again. If he indeed does start I like Murray because of his matchup. Jrue Holiday isn’t a very good defender and Denver’s pace should allow Murray to get some easy buckets and assists. At $3,700 Murray only needs 18.5 fps to hit value. In his last two starts at the same price he’s hit 18.3 and 17.6 in 28.5 minutes. While he didn’t hit value he makes for a nice value play and allows for some salary relief.
Matthew Dellavedova $3,500 – Delly is only in play if he starts. In the last two games he’s started at the same price he’s scored 24 and 19.1 fps. In those games he’s played 34.5 minutes. Westbrook isn’t the best defender so if Delly can knock a couple 3’s down and get his rebounds and assists he should be able to hit value of 17.5 fps.
Ron Baker and Chasson Randle $3,500 – This is more of a gpp play, but with Derrick Rose out the rest of the year with yet another knee injury the Knicks have a bunch of minutes available at PG. Baker plays majority of the minutes, but Randle is more productive. They will get Rondo defense tomorrow which let’s be honest isn’t what it used to be so one of them might be worth a shot. As far as Randle goes he played 22 mins last game and scored 15.9 fps. So his minutes could be on the up as the Knicks are in full on tank mode.
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot $4,200 – This is about as high as I’m willing go to pay up for TLC. But, he has an excellent matchup with the Nets tomorrow. This game should be very fast paced with no defense being played. So it’s essentially a dfs players dream game. With Robert Covington out for the year TLC has stepped into his place nicely playing over 32 minutes in his last 4 games and scoring more than 24.8 fps in each of those contests. Needing 21 fps to hit value I think TLC is an excellent play tonight because of his matchup and he really can fill up the stat sheet.
Jordan Crawford $3,700 – As I wrote the other night, Crawford is an excellent scorer for the Pelicans off the bench. He gets about mid 20 minutes and that should carry on tomorrow with a great matchup against the Nuggets. This game will be a pace up opportunity for the Pelicans where Crawford should thrive. Expect him to extend his streak of scoring 10 pts or above to 9 games. Crawford only needs 18.5 fps to hit value.
Justin Anderson $4,000 – Anderson is another play who has benefitted from Covington being out. He’s been getting about 25 minutes a night and has an excellent matchup with the Nets. He should be able to take advantage of the Nets poor defense. He needs 20 fps to hit value.
Paul Zipser $3,700 – Zipser is an interesting play tomorrow because he’ll see around 25 minutes of play against a weak defensive Knicks team. He can score when given the chance and only needs 18.5 fps to hit value. He should be really low owned as well.
Serge Ibaka $5,600 – Ibaka is in a great spot tonight as he gets a favorable matchup with Thad Young. He tore him up earlier in the week going for 35.4 fps and then followed that up with a huge 45.2 fps game against the 76ers. Serge has really helped take the load off Derozan and should continue this again tonight. He needs 28 fps to hit value.
Al-Farouq Aminu $4,800 – With Nurkic out for the Blazers Aminu has seen increased minutes. I like him tonight because without Favors the Jazz have been getting beat up at power forward, even with Gobert down low. Aminu is a solid scorer and rebounder. His price does worry me a little, but the blazers are fighting to get in the playoffs so Aminu should show up big.
Jonas Valanciunas $5,500 – Val is another player who has stepped to help take the load off Derozan. He’s hit value his last 4 games, the low 29.8 and the high of 41.9 fps. He gets a nice matchup with Myles Turner tonight who doesn’t offer much of a defensive presence. I fully expect Val to hit value of 27.5 fps in a big game for him.
Shawn Long $4,000 – Long is another player taking advantage of injuries. He’s been playing about 20 minutes a night and gets Brook Lopez defense tonight. At $4,000 he needs 20 fps to hit value and that looks just about right for him. SO if you’re looking for a value play center for some salary relief Long could be your guy.
Even with MLB back, I still will be cranking out Value Vault articles for NBA! Since MLB is the new thing NBA will get put on the back burner a little bit. Hopefully this will lower the cash lines a tad since they’ve been well over 300 the last couple nights. Let’s hop into this 7 game slate! Read more