Early Only Prime Pitchers – 7/19/17

Hey everyone! In this article, I will discuss my 2 favorite pitchers for Thursday’s 4 game Early Only slate. Don’t forget to follow me on twitter @ConfortoDFS and if you have any questions don’t hesitate to ask me, i’m always active on twitter.

*FanDuel pricing

Top Option

nelson Jimmy Nelson ($9,300)

Nelson is easily my favorite play on the slate and is the top option in all formats.  In 2017, Jimmy Nelson has taken a huge step forward and became one of the best pitchers in the MLB and the ace of the NL Central leading Milwaukee Brewers.

Nelson sports a slate leading 3.41 SIERA and 3.23 xFIP and an excellent 26.7% K Rate which should lead to an excellent performance against one of the worst offense teams in the league, the Pirates.

Pittsburgh ranks 24th in team wOBA vs RHP (.306) and tied for 28th in team ISO vs RHP (.146). The Pirates offense has also been dreadful since coming out of the ASB with a horrific .296 wOBA and .121 ISO vs RHP. Pirates manager Clint Hurdle may also throw out a watered down lineup due to it being a day game.

These factors should result in Jimmy Nelson easily being the top pitcher from a value and raw points perspective on the slate.

 


Secondary Option

Luis Castillo Luis Castillo ($7,600)

If you want to spend up on bats in GPP’s and need a cheap pitcher to play, I would recommend flamethrower Luis Castillo being your guy. Ever since arriving from AA in Late June, Castillo has done nothing but impress. Castillo has been able to amass a ELITE 11.2 K/9 which ranks ahead of Future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw and All Star Chris Archer. The strikeout numbers are legit as Castillo has attained an elite 13.0% SwStr which would rank him with pitchers like Stephen Strasburg.

Although the DBacks offense is extremely potent at home, they have struggled on the road. Arizona has only hit for a 94 wRC+ and .157 ISO which both show that the matchup is not as bad as it looks on paper. The DBacks lineup may also be watered down due to it being a day game which would give Castillo a major bump.

In my opinion, Castillo should ONLY BE USED IN GPP’s as he is playing in one of the best hitters parks in baseball and has struggled with his control during his brief stint in the Majors. He is a classic low floor, high ceiling pitcher who can help you climb the GPP leaderboards with a good game.

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