With an Early-Only slate larger than the Main slate, I will be focusing on the 4:05 ET lock and likely fading the main slate. We’ve got a plethora of pitching options atop the position, but the necessity to pay all the way up is not necessarily there.
Below are my top three pitching options for today’s slate and why I think they warrant consideration.
Stephen Strasburg ($10,900) @ NYM
As I stated above, I don’t think it’s necessary to spend up all the way at pitcher tonight, but if that’s the route that you choose to go – Strasburg is your guy. He got unexpectedly rocked last outing and tonight doesn’t pose as an easy matchup, but his chances of returning to form as still rather high. On the season, he holds a 28.5% K-rate, a 3.37 SIERA and a 3.23 xFIP. Those are all ace-like numbers, nothing out of the ordinary for Strasburg. On top of that, he’s held opponents to a 28.1% hard-contact percentage and a 46.2% ground-ball percentage while inducing a 12.2% swinging strike rate.
He takes on the New York Mets tonight, a team with a daunting 1-4 (Conforto, Cespedes, Bruce, Flores) and impressive peripherals. They rank 8th in wOBA (0.330), 4th in ISO (0.200) and 25th in K-rate (19.2%) versus right-handed pitching – posing a tough matchup for Strasburg.
The fact that this game is in Citi Field boosts Strasburg’s stock a bit and while he still clocks in as the ace of the slate (If you want to pay up, go Stras), I won’t be rostering him at $10,900 when there’s other value on the board at the pitching position.
Chase Anderson ($9,200) vs SDP
There might not be a hotter pitcher in the MLB right now than Chase Anderson and that’s something that I never thought I’d say. Over his last 4 games, he’s posted 64, 52, 45 and 43 FanDuel points. On the season, he’s posted a 22.8% K-rate, a 4.22 SIERA, 4.19 xFIP while doing an incredible job of limiting hard contact (32.4% hard contact percentage, 40.5% ground-ball percentage and a 0.59 HR/9 ratio).
What’s even better is the fact that he gets to host the San Diego Padres tonight. The Padres rank 29th in wOBA (0.298), 17th in ISO (0.168) and hold the highest K-rate in the MLB against right-handed pitching at 25.6%.
While some may think $9,200 for Chase Anderson is a steep asking price, given the way he’s performed over the last month of the season and his matchup tonight – I almost consider this a steal. He’s my favorite mid-tier option this afternoon.
Zack Godley ($7,800) @ PHI
While the above options are certainly viable and preferable by many in most formats today, my favorite pitcher on the slate is Zack Godley. He’s been superb this season, posting a 3.76 SIERA, 3.34 xFIP, 21.2% K-rate and has limited hard contact better than just about any pitcher on the slate (29.2% hard-contact percentage, a 61.6% ground-ball percentage, and a 0.61 HR/9 ratio).
He, much like Chase Anderson, gets an extremely enticing matchup this afternoon against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies rank 27th in wOBA (0.301), 29th in ISO (0.143) and have the 7th highest K-rate in the MLB versus right-handed pitching at 23.5%.
With an extreme park upgrade, a potent offense backing him up (even though they’re brutal on the road) and an enticing matchup, Godley clocks in as my preferred option in both cash and tournament formats this afternoon.