WNBA Breakdown: 6/2/17-6/3/17

Slate News:

  • We have a weird slate tonight that is Fri-Sat but is only 3 games. Dal plays a back-to-back and their game tonight against NY is the one that’s on the slate. But, tomorrow they play Ind and that game is on the Saturday only slate.
  • I’m looking forward to seeing what Tina Charles does for NY, she already leads the league in shot attempts per game and NY now is down to their 3rd string pg, more shots for Charles please!
  • Will San Antonio get their first win against Connecticut? Probably not, I think it’ll be the Jonquel Jones show.
  • Min/Sea should be a good game. Min hasn’t lost so far this year and Fowles has been the best player in the WNBA. Seattle has a high powered offense that has yet to have been slowed down with Sue bird back at the helm. Something has to give and it’ll be interesting to see what that something is.

Studs:

Sylvia Fowles, Min $8,900 – Fowles has been the best player in the WNBA so far this year. She’s getting it done on both ends of the court where she’s averaging 20p and 11r. To go along with that she’s had a double-double in 4/6 games. She has a great matchup with Sea on Saturday where she will be able to dominate the paint. Sea was dominated by Tina Charles 2 games ago when she went for 28p and 9r. Fowles has been a more efficient version of Charles so far this year, so I expect her to put up similar numbers. At her price she would need 45 fps to hit value, which she’s done 3 times this year ( 2 of her 6 games were blowouts where she didn’t play more than 23 minutes). Long story short Fowles is a must have for me in my lineups where I expect her to have 40-45 fps with ease.

Tina Charles, NY $7,900 – I watched NY’s last game against LA and Charles can do it all. She was dominating in the paint and even hit a couple 3’s. But, once she got into foul trouble her game changed, she was being less aggressive and it cost her fps. She only scored 27.5 last game after she had 19.5 at half time. LA honestly couldn’t stop her until she picked up those fouls so if she can stay out of foul trouble against Dal tonight I see her having a big game. We’re honestly getting Charles at a discounted price because of her “poor performance” last time out. She will need 40 fps to hit value which shouldn’t be a problem considering she takes the most shots per game and she’s lost both of her starting Pg’s so far this year ( aka even more shots for her). To add to that Dal doesn’t have the strongest front court, so I expect her to be near value with 35-40 fps tonight.

Mid Tier:

Jonquel Jones, Con $6,900 – Jones had another big game last time out, where she recorded 14p and 13r along with 4b which was good for 40.6 fps. Her price seems low to me and I like to buy low in situations where I know the player can outperform their salary. Jones is in that spot for me, at her price she only needs 35 fps to hit value. She’s gone over 35 fps 4/6 games so far this year and she has a good matchup against SA. I expect her to go 35-40+ especially if the game stays close. She’s a must have in my book.

Rebekkah Brunson, Min $5,300 – Brunson has a great matchup tonight against a defensively weak Seattle frontcourt. So far this year Brunson hasn’t been under 16 fps, which makes her a great cash game option because she’s consistent. At her price she needs 26.5 fps to hit value and I expect her to hit 20-25 fps.

Value:

Kayla Thornton, Dal $3,800 – Since Courtney Paris went down with an injury Thornton has stepped up and played more minutes in her place. She’s played more than 20 minutes in both games, scored more than 6p, grabbed more than 6r and totaled more than 15.7 fps. For a value play that’s not bad considering one of those games was a complete blowout. I’m looking for 14-19 fps from her.

Shavonte Zellous, NY $3,000 – Zellous is another must play tonight because she’s now going to be the starting Pg for NY. After Boyd got hurt and Prince left for Euros Zellous will be stepping into the starting spot. She’s minimum priced and in an excellent spot to crush value. I’m looking for 20+ fps from her tonight.

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