WNBA Breakdown: 5/23/17

Con (0-2) @ Min (3-0)
Ny (1-1) @ Pho (2-1)

Slate News:

Diana Taurasi has been suspended for this game because of her flagrant 2 foul last game. This gives an usage boost to Brittney Griner but her Price tag $8,700 is a little steep. Stephanie Talbot and Leilani Mitchell get minutes boost with Taurasi out as well. The other big news is Boyd going down with an ACL tear for NY. This opens up different options for Ny, but it’s been rumored Bria Hartley will get the nod for the starting lineup.

Studs:

Brittney Griner, PHO $8,700 – One of the biggest questions one the slate is whether to go with or fade Griner tonight. Charles is a great player  and she will have the tall task of guarding Griner. While Griner has had 2 great games, I think she could be in some trouble tonight. She does have a couple things on her side though. She’s in a groove and Taurasi will be out giving Griner’s usage a major bump. I honestly think I won’t know what I’m doing until right before lock with Griner. I can see her having a great game, but I also can see Charles locking her up and Pho getting blown out.  So for the sake of the article I’ll say she has an average day 32-37 fps.

Maya Moore, MIN $8,600 – Moore has been very consistent this year and at this price she may be a safer option on the slate. But, she hasn’t eclipsed 37.2 fps and at $8,600 she would need 43 fps to hit value. I don’t think that will happen strictly because she’s been stuffing the stat sheet instead of scoring a lot of points. I’m looking for 33-38 fps from her tonight.

Sylvia Fowles, MIN $8,400 – Fowles is a lock in my eyes as her only poor game so far this year was against Tina Charles. She’s played steady minutes and put up big double-doubles in 2/3 games this year. Fowles has gotten double digit shot attempts in every game even with an MVP type player as her running mate. Of all the high priced plays, I feel most safe with Fowles. I’m looking for 35-40 fps from her tonight.

Jonquel Jones, CON $8,000 – Jones is my fade of the day. We saw Fowles shut down Charles in their game and hasn’t allowed more than 9 pts or 12 rebs so far this year. Jones has averaged 38.5 fps and I don’t see that happening tonight against last years DPOY. Jones will get around 25-30 fps tonight.

Tina Charles, NY $7,700 – Charles is the lowest price of the “Studs”. But I like her as gpp option tonight because even with Griner, Pho gives up a lot of points and rebounds to bigs. Also, Boyd went down with an ACL tear in their last game and that will leave even more opportunity. Last week Charles didn’t play her best basketball, but it was reported she was playing sick. Numbers to take into consideration for this matchup against Griner last year Charles averaged 27 pts and 11 rebs. So far this year Charles has shot the ball 9 and 19 times in both games she’s played. So once her shot starts falling she will be back to her old self. I’m looking for 28-33 fps from her tonight.

Mid Tier:

Sugar Rodgers, NY $5,800 – Rodgers had a great make up game last time out and will be one of the highest guards owned tonight because of that. Her usage will go up a little with Boyd being out, but I still expect about the same result. She’s in a good spot against Pho guards with no Taurasi and as NY second option on offense. I’m looking for 25-30 fps tonight.

Danielle Robinson, PHO $5,400 – Another top option for guards on the slate. She doesn’t get too much of a bump with Taurasi out, so I expect the same results from her. She’s the primary ball handler and has been scoring a bit for Pho and she could shoot a little more without Taurasi on the court. I expect her to score 20-25 fps tonight.

Rebekkah Brunson, MIN $5,200 – Brunson had a great game last time out with 7p, 11r and 4s. I don’t expect the 4 steals again tonight, but I do think she will be close to a double-double again. I’m looking for 20-25 fps tonight.

Leilani Mitchell, PHO $4,700 – Mitchell is another player that will benefit from the Taurasi suspension. She’s been getting good minutes off the bench, 24 and 28 respectively in her last 2 games. What stands out is she’s a great scorer and for her price could easily achieve value in this situation. I’m looking for 20-25 fps from her tonight.

Value:

Stephanie Talbot, PHO $3,500 – Talbot is another player that should get more opportunities from Taurasi being out. In her last game she played 27 mins, scored 4p, grabbed 7r dished out 2a and had 2s. She had a productive day that was good for 19.4  fps. I would expect another productive day out of her as Pho will need her to fill the stat line to be successful against Ny. I’m looking for 15-20 fps from her.

Bria Hartley, NY $3,000 – Hartley has been reported as the starter for Boyd. If this is the case she comes in at a major discount. Her $3,000 price tag is very cheap and will allow for big names to be inserted in your line with ease. If she is indeed the starter I’m confident she will be a solid play because the Ny coach has went on record saying he likes her style of play. It also helps that in two weeks the other 2 guards Prince and Vaughn will be leaving to play in the Euros, so it wouldn’t make sense to start something with one guard and have to completely switch it up in 2 weeks when they leave. Just make sure Hartley is in the starting lineup before playing her. I’m looking for 12-17 fps from her.

Lynettta Kizer, CON $3,600 – Kizer is another player that could benefit from injury news. If Alyssa Thomas is ruled out of the game again due to her concussion then Kizer would start in her place like last game. She wouldn’t have the easiest task of playing against Min, but her increased minutes make her a great value play. in her last game she played in 23 mins, scored 12p and grabbed 3r. I’m looking for 15-20 fps from her.

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