Stacks of the Day – 4/26/17

Hopefully you’ve all gotten a chance to read Ben and Bryce’s articles on who to play/fade from a hitting standpoint and Jacob’s article on pitching is in the works so we’ll have you covered from all angles tonight. We’ve already had one game postponed (TOR/STL) which takes away my GPP stack of the Cardinals, but there are a load of other offenses to get shares of. Below are my favorite stacks of the day.

Premium Stack

Colorado Rockies – (IRT – 6.0)

I spoke about my love for a Rockies’ stack tonight on the Lineup Logic podcast with Sean so I’ll essentially be repeating myself here. They match up tonight with Tanner Roark of the Washington Nationals, who, while he isn’t a great matchup for a hitter, is prone to getting hit by lefties. He’s struggled to strike out left-handed batters over his career, posting 5.73 K/9 rate and a 3.14 BB/9 rate with a 1.26 WHIP.

Playing in Coors essentially negates all splits and dominance a pitcher has, as even Clayton Kershaw was roughed up earlier this season and I expect the same for Roark, a much more mediocre pitcher.

The Rockies’ 1-5 all have wOBAs above 0.360 against RHP and the 1-3-5 of their order all over an ISO over 0.200 while Carlos Gonzalez (the four hitter) has an ISO of 0.195. While the lefties in the lineup are my favorites tonight (especially the red-hot Blackmon), I’m on board with a full stack from both sides of the plate, with my favorite options (1-4-5) listed below with their splits against RHP:

  • Charlie Blackmon ($4,700) – 0.405 wOBA // 0.283 ISO // 39.7% HC
  • Carlos Gonzalez ($4,000) – 0.363 wOBA // 0.195 ISO // 35.3% HC
  • Mark Reynolds ($4,000) – 0.380 wOBA // 0.216 ISO // 30.5% HC

While the 1-4-5 stack of the Rockies is my personal favorite, DJ LeMahieu, Nolan Arenado, Trevor Story and Tony Wolters are all viable options in all formats as well.

Secondary Stack

Arizona Diamondbacks – (IRT – 5.1)

Fanduel is really slacking by having so many of the Diamondbacks so cheaply priced, but I’m going to take advantage of it for as long as I can. After posting 9 runs last night, the Diamondbacks continue their torrid hitting as their averaging over 5 runs per game as a team.

They match up with Trevor Cahill tonight who, while impressive so far this season, holds a career 16.9% K-rate, 4.16 SIERA (currently has 3.05 SIERA in 2017) and a 1.35 WHIP, showing that some negative regression may be coming his way.

Like I said both on the podcast and in my last stack article, the Diamondbacks crush righties and lefties, but have some righty-mashers for some affordable prices tonight. Below are my favorite options from Arizona (with their splits vs righties), building a projected 2-4-7 stack:

  • David Peralta – 0.326 wOBA // 0.172 ISO // 36.2% HC
  • Jake Lamb – 0.382 wOBA // 0.285 ISO // 42.2% HC
  • Chris Owings – 0.302 wOBA // 0.124 ISO // 31.2% HC

While Chris Owings’ numbers leave something to be desired, he’s been an extra-base hit machine as of late and I plan on riding the wave. I also love mixing in AJ Pollock, Paul Goldschmidt, and Chris Herrmann as a cheap option to add to the stack.

Bonus Stack

Seattle Mariners – (IRT – 4.4)

The final stack of the day is the Seattle Mariners, who unfortunately just moved Felix Hernandez and Mitch Haniger to the DL. With Haniger to the DL, Guillermo Heredia is seeing the start in OF and batting second for $2,600 on Fanduel (great value play).

The Mariners get the privilege of matching up against lefty Daniel Norris, the proud owner of a 5.22 SIERA, 14.3% K-rate, 11.7% BB-rate and a 38.6% HC percentage this season. Brutal.

Everyone in DFS knows to play Nelly Cruz against a lefty, and the Mariners have some other intriguing players to stack around him tonight. My favorite stack is a 1-4-5 of the Mariners tonight, all right-handed hitters who have been seeing the ball well. Below are their splits against lefties:

  • Jean Segura – 0.329 wOBA // 0.154 ISO // 27.3% HC // + SB upside
  • Nelson Cruz – 0.420 wOBA // 0.345 ISO // 39.5% HC
  • Taylor Motter – 0.348 wOBA // 0.147 ISO // 40.7% HC // + SB upside

All three have a nice level of pop (Nelly obviously has the double-dong upside) and Segura and Mother have some nice speed upside as well. In addition to those three, I don’t mind rostering Guillermo Heredia and Danny Valencia in this matchup from a value play standpoint. I also don’t HATE Robinson Cano tonight, but he’s been rather MIA lately.

Thank you for reading my stacks of the day article and if you have any further questions, hit me up on Twitter @JMetz34 or @FanForecast with your lineup questions – Good luck tonight!

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