Good afternoon everyone. I’m having a great time writing these articles and hope that some of my takes are helping you into the cash. The last two days I’ve been pretty on, but unfortunately due to rain we didn’t see what type of game Velasquez could have had. Without further ado, let’s get into today’s slate and see what we can break down on the mound.
Jon Lester (FD – $10,500 , DK – $11,600) – With Syndergaard scratched, Lester becomes the top overall option on the slate. The Pirates are ranked in the bottom 10 in wOBA vs. LHP. Lester is a guy who has a high strikeout rate. The Cubs should sweep this series and should provide plenty of run support for Lester to get the W against Glasnow. Lester is VIABLE IN ALL FORMATS.
Johnny Cueto (FD – $9,600 , DK – $11,100) – This match up is BAD. The first 5 batters in the Dodgers lineup post a wOBA of .350+ and an ISO of .175. The Dodgers are also second in the league in wRC+ against righties. Oh did I mention they only strikeout 18.1% of the time? His lack of strikeout upside along with this terrible match up have scared me dead off of him. Don’t be fooled. Johnny Cueto is a FADE IN ALL FORMATS.
James Paxton (FD – $8,900 , DK – $8,200) – I’m having trouble pin pointing this match up to see if Paxton is in a good spot or not. Let’s start with the negatives. First off, the Tigers scorched 19 runs just last night and they are RED hot. They have the 7th best wRC+ against LHP and only strikeout 19.4% of the time. Let’s look at some positives. Paxton, although may not be sustainable, has a 30% strikeout rate at the moment. Detroit slugger Miguel Cabrera will be out of the lineup. I really do like Paxton’s strikeout upside and think that his price is more than fair. This is a tough match up, but I think Paxton strikeouts out enough Tigers to make him worth it. Paxton is VIABLE IN ALL FORMATS.
*Vince Velasquez* – See yesterday’s article. Everything I said there still applies.
Dylan Bundy (FD – $8,100 , DK – $7,800) – The Rays have a strikeout rate of 26% against RHP. Bundy has already struck out 20 batters in just 4 starts and has also only given up 4 runs in 26.1 IP. In his last 13 innings he has 9 strikeouts and 0 runs allowed. Bundy has everything he needs to be successful in this match up and by losing Syndergaard Bundy is VIABLE IN ALL FORMATS.
Matt Shoemaker (FD – $7,700 , DK – $7,500) – Shoemaker is either on or he is not. Right now he is striking out batters having struck out 14 in his last 2 outings. Five of the Athletic’s projected starters have a strikeout rate of at least 22%. He gets a positive ballpark shift and his ownership should be relatively low today. Shoemaker is a VIABLE GPP OPTION.