Man, how crazy was last night for DFS? Coors scored 27 runs, Detroit put up 19, then 5 other teams combined for 8+ runs. Hopefully you had some exposure to some of those squads. Whether you cashed last night or had a rough night, it’s on to the next slate! We have a 12 game slate on Wednesday night. After you read this article, hopefully you will have a good idea on what bats to target. Let’s get to it!
Side Note: Everyone in Coors is in play. This means I won’t include any Coors guys in this article.
Cameron Rupp – $3,300 (DK)/$2,400 (FD) – vs MIA
I’m going to be looking to pay down tonight at catcher. With Coors on this slate + a few high priced pitchers that I’m targeting, I’ll need to save somewhere. I love Rupp tonight vs a lefty. In 2016, Rupp had a .415 wOBA and a .309 ISO vs LHP. He’s priced very nicely across the industry, which makes me like him even more. Even though he struggled in the early weeks of the season, he’s turned it up a little more the last few days. Over the last 6 games, he’s been on base at least once every game, including 4 extra base hits. Wei-Yin Chen isn’t exactly a gas can, but he did give up a hard-contact rate of 32% to righties in 2016. Overall, I love the savings Rupp offers.
Buster Posey – $3,500 (DK)/$3,600 (FD) – vs LAD
I’m looking at Posey more on DraftKings because of the savings that he offers. He matches up vs a lefty in Alex Wood. In his career, Posey has a .328 AVG, .401 wOBA, and a .224 ISO vs lefties. We all obviously know Posey is the best catcher in the league and he’s actually pretty cheap on DraftKings. Lock and load in cash games.
Anthony Rizzo – $4,800 (DK)/$4,600 (FD) – @ PIT
I love the Cubs on today’s slate, led by Anthony Rizzo. Tyler Glasnow is really struggling so far this year. He struggles with command, which is not good news for tonight. He faces a Cubs team that is very disciplined at the plate. Rizzo is a guy that won’t chase pitches. He forces the pitcher to throw strikes. I’m thinking a lot of Cubbies will get on base tonight, giving Rizzo ample opportunities to drive in some runs. Love him for cash + GPP’s if you can fit him.
Mike Napoli – $3,900 (DK)/$3,100 (FD) – vs MIN
Mike Napoli is definitely struggling early in the season, but he still has pop and is still pretty good against LHP. In GPP’s, we’re looking for guys that can give us some salary relief, but still have homer potential. I think that’s what Napoli offers here. He has a career .238 ISO and plays in a great hitters park. Sneaky dong call of the night is Napoli. GPP ONLY.
Cesar Hernandez – $3,500 (DK)/$3,600 (FD) – vs MIA
Again, I’m targeting Hernandez more on DK because of how cheap he is. I really don’t understand their pricing on him. He has 6 double digit DK point performances in the last 8 games. He bats high in the order which will give him the most at-bats possible. In 2016, Hernandez had a .341 batting averaging vs lefties. He doesn’t provide much power, so I might end up staying away from him in GPP’s, but he’s almost a lock in cash games (on DK).
Brandon Phillips – $3,300 (DK)/$3,000 (FD) – @ NYM
As I was writing this article it was announced that Robert Gsellman would replace Noah Syndergaard on the hill tonight. This is definitely limits our pitching selection (CMart and Thor ruled out) but this definitely helps the ATL bats. I LOVE all the ATL bats tonight, especially on DK. Every one (except Freeman) was priced down because of the matchup vs Thor. Now, since we know they aren’t facing him, we can attack these bats. Phillips has been hitting the cover off the ball lately. He sports a 10-game hit streak, including a few multi hit games sprinkled in. He provides solid power and some steal upside. He’s far too cheap on DraftKings and even reasonably priced on Fanduel. Love Phillips in all formats tonight.
Jake Lamb – $3,900 (DK)/$3,800 (FD) – vs SD
Jake Lamb might be my 2nd favorite play on the slate tonight. The DBacks bats have really been hot lately and Lamb has been right in the middle of it all. Trevor Cahill isn’t a great pitcher, so we can target all the DBacks tonight. We know Chase Field is one of the best hitters parks in all of baseball, so expect a lot of runs in this matchup. Lamb has always been a severe splits guy who hits VERY well against righties, especially at Chase Field. In his career, he has a .231 ISO and a .354 wOBA vs righties at home. He hits for average, but also has power upside and the ability to drive in runs. I LOVE Lamb in all formats tonight.
Jean Segura – $4,200 (DK)/$3,400 (FD) – @ DET
Segura returned from the DL last night, only to go 3-6 with a homerun, 3 RBI’s, and 2 R’s. Even before his injury he was really mashing the ball. He leads off in a lineup that is sneaky good. If he gets on base, he always has ample opportunities to score with the likes of Cano, Cruz, Seager, and Motter batting behind him. The M’s get a lefty tonight and not a great one. In 2016, Daniel Norris allowed a 35.1% hard contact rate against righties last year. On the other hand, Segura has been very serviceable vs lefties in his career. In 2016, he had close to a 30% hard contact rate vs lefties. I really love targeting lead off hitters on good teams and that’s what we’re getting here. Segura is fine in all formats.
Chris Owings – $3,400 (DK)/$3,100 (FD) – vs SD
As I mentioned with Jake Lamb, I really love all the ARI bats tonight. Owings has been absolutely on fire the last few nights. We usually like to target him vs lefties, but he’s been mashing the ball at Chase Field this year. In 11 games played at Chase so far this year, Owings has a .381 batting average, with 5 extra base hits and 15 RBI’s. This lineup always has a chance to go off in Chase Field and I believe this is another one of those nights for them. Owings is way too cheap on DraftKings and still reasonably priced on Fanduel. With Thor and CMart already scratched from the slate, we really don’t HAVE to find places to save. Love Owings in all formats (especially with an ARI stack).
Nelson Cruz – $4,200 (DK)/ $4,100 (FD) – @ DET
The ultimate lefty masher. Do I really need to break this one down for you? Fine, I’ll give you the numbers. In 2016, Nelson Cruz had a ridiculous .351 ISO and a .419 wOBA vs lefties. Wait, it gets even more ridiculous. If you break it down even more, Nelson Cruz had an AMAZING .495 ISO and a .497 wOBA vs lefties ON THE ROAD. Detroit is obviously a park upgrade over Seattle, so I’m ALL OVER Cruz tonight. Fire him up on Fanduel. Fire him up on DraftKings. Fire him up in cash. Fire him up in GPPs. By far my favorite play on the slate and that’s including the Coors guys.
Mike Trout – $5,100 (DK)/$4,800 (FD) – @ OAK
I really didn’t want to tout Mike Trout tonight because he’s obviously in play every night, but I wanted to say a few things on him real quick. First, we know he’s far and away the best player in the world right now. That being said, he might not be TOOOO high owned tonight. Coors just put up 27 runs last night, so people might just flock to Harper, Blackmon, Gonzalez and leave out Trout. Not me. Trout is obviously an amazing player vs righties and lefties, but he gets a lefty tonight. He’s hit for a higher average vs lefties his whole career and obviously has the power/speed combination we look for in GPPs. Keep the ownership in mind when building lineups tonight, because Trout could easily double dong.
Jay Bruce – $3,300 (DK)/$3,600 (FD) – vs ATL
Bruce is one of my favorite “one-off” plays tonight, especially on DraftKings where he’s just too cheap. We know the power is there for Bruce. Teheran isn’t a bad pitcher at all, but he does give up harder hits to lefties. In 2016, Teheran had a 47% fly ball rate to lefties, compared to just a 36% fly ball rate to righties. He also gave up 1.49 HR/9 last year to lefties, compared to just 0.77 HR/9 vs righties. When picking my one-offs, I’m looking for someone that has power. Jay Bruce can absolutely hit a homerun vs Teheran tonight, which is why I like him for GPPs.
Side Note: Like I mentioned in my Brandon Phillips write-up, I love ATL bats tonight on DK. Kemp, Phillips, Markakis, Inciarte are all underpriced. Wouldn’t mind throwing that stack with Freeman in a GPP tonight. Other stacks I like (besides Coors): ARI, CHC, SEA, PHI (GPP), SD (GPP).
Thanks for reading. Hopefully this article will give you a good idea on what bats are in play tonight. I’m interested to hear your feedback, so get at me on twitter (@breeden_bryce) or feel free to hit up the Fantasy Forecast team on twitter (@FanForecast). Thanks again and lets cash!!