Cash Game Pitching Options – 4/24/17

Since we love the slate tonight so much, we are going to be publishing some extra articles for you guys. We’ll have Jacob Wright (@DFSClutchBoy) breaking down his favorite pitching options into tiers, Joe breaking down his favorite batters, and I will be giving you the pitchers that I will be looking at in cash games.

Here are my favorite options on the slate:

Zack Greinke ($10,000) vs. SDP

O/U: 9

ARI -160

Greinke comes into this slate as the highest priced pitcher and it is for good reason. Facing up against a Padres team that features only one main threat in Wil Myers, at home in a park that doesn’t play favorable for righty sluggers, Zack should have a productive afternoon and is probably one you should pay up for. While Zack has certainly had an inconsistent start to this season, his last outing, which was against the Padres at Petco, he went 8 innings giving up 5 hits with 6 Ks. The Padres are 6th in strikeouts this year and sit near the bottom of the total hits column. So far this season, Greinke holds a 2.31 ERA at home and more notably, carries a a 2.13 ERA vs the Padres over his last 11 games against them. With a slate that doesn’t feature an elite pitcher, Greinke should be a top consideration against Chacin and the Padres.

Chris Archer ($9,500) vs. BAL

O/U: 7.5

TB -115

This matchup obviously doesn’t look great for Archer on paper and his past performances against them don’t exactly appear promising. However, Archer still needs to be considered in this slate as the other pitching options aren’t the best. The Orioles are known for their hitting and run producing but this hasn’t been the Baltimore team everyone is used to and it appears Vegas is taking that into account suggested by the game’s fairly low projected run total (7.5). While the O’s don’t strike out a whole lot, they  are dead last this season in total walks and rank 25th in hits and 24th in runs scored. So clearly the Baltimore hitters aren’t firing on all cylinders to start the season and Archer could very well take advantage of that. I do want to note that Archer holds a 4.73 ERA against Baltimore in his last 10 games started against them, only winning 1 outing. This fact, along with Archer pitching against Machado and Co., will most likely make his ownership drop as well. Archer will be dueling against the one and only Ubaldo Jimenez who is very prone to getting rocked at times and Tampa is actually projected to win this game despite a 1-6 road record thus far.

Jason Vargas ($8,500) @ CHW

O/U: 7.5

KC -110

I can’t say I would have ever considered rostering Jason at a price tag over 8k but here we are. This man has been on a tear this season and faces the team that has been one of the most popular targets for rostering pitchers, so he has to be talked about. Vargas has yet to score under 40 Fanduel points this season and carries a flawless record and a stellar 0.44 ERA into this matchup. Vargas is averaging just about 8 Ks per game and is pitching against a team that is last in hits, 2nd last in runs scored, 3rd last in home runs, 3rd last in batting average, 2nd last in RBIs…you get the idea. The main downfall that Vargas could potentially run into tonight, is run support, which luckily hasn’t affected him yet this season. But, the Royals rank dead last in run scored this season with only 46 over their 18 games played which equates to 2.5 runs on a per game basis. This feat hasn’t hurt him yet but it is likely to limit his upside in the win column going forward so by no means expect a guaranteed win for him. This could very well come down to the bullpens of each time as both starters have been rather effective thus far and face offenses that can’t seem to score runs.  Having said that, Vargas will most likely by the highest owned pitcher tonight and should continue his successful 2017 season with a W.

AVOID

Francisco Liriano ($8,400) @ LAA

O/U: 8

LAA -130

While Liriano has certainly been hot lately, especially after his 2017 debut game against the Rays in which he lasted only 1 out giving up 5 earned, he may be one you want to avoid tonight. First off, the Blue Jays have been awful this season suggested by their 5-13 record and inability to score runs. Part of the reasoning for this is due to Josh Donaldson being put on the shelf with an injury and now Tulo as well, so run support is very much an issue to consider. Vegas has the Angels winning this game as well. As I mentioned earlier, Liriano has been very effective lately averaging 44 FDP in his last 2 outings. However, both of those games were at home, which is not where he will be tonight and is a cause for concern since he scored -11 FDP his last road outing. In addition, in his 2 starts over the last 3 years against the Angels he has been below average, giving up 8 earned runs on 16 hits combined allowing hitters to bat .390. Now you might be thinking the K upside with Liriano is intriguing, which I can’t argue with, but he is more of a GPP play if anything and you can easily spend $100 more to get Vargas in a much better spot.

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