Value Vault: NBA 4/22/17

Hopefully everyone was able to read our preferred plays article and listen to the Lineup Logic podcast for yesterday’s MLB slate as all of the plays paid off really nicely! James McCann and Corey Seager both homered while Corey Kluber pitched a complete game shutout. With the MLB split up into an early-only and a main slate tonight, my focus is going back to the NBA Playoff slate that starts at 3:00 PM ET.

Fanduel has modified their pricing to align with the minutes and production of players in the postseason, so $3,500 is no longer minimum salary as we have a ton of players priced below that, some of which are worth taking advantage of.

Here are my favorite value plays for today’s slate:

Marcin Gortat ($5,800)

Gortat had an extremely disappointing regular season as he saw his salary drop from the mid to high-6,000s to the low end of the 5,000 dollar range, but he seems to be experiencing a bit of a resurgence here in the first round of the playoffs against the Hawks. Through the first two games of the series, Gortat has averaged 14 points, 10 rebounds, 3.5 blocks and 1.5 assists per game over an average of 33 minutes per game. That’s 3.2 more points per game, 2.8 more blocks per game, and just over one extra minute per game. Whatever the Wizards have been doing with Gortat has clearly been working, so I really don’t see a reason why they’d abandon their game plan. For under $6k, you’re getting a whole lot of production at a rather thing center position.

Mo Harkless ($4,900)

Harkless was a tale of two halves last game against the Warriors. He went into halftime right around 30 FDP and ended the game with 33. While obviously the second half was a bit disheartening for his fantasy owners, the overall production and confidence he showed are huge signs. In the first two games of round one, he’s averaged 13 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2 blocks, 1.5 steals and 1 assist per game over 32 minutes per game. He saw 35 minutes in game one, followed by 29 minutes in a 33.1 FDP performance in game two (producing over a FDP per minute). With all of the defensive attention from Golden State keyed in on Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, Harkless showed that he’s more than capable of stepping up when needed. I find it rather likely that he’s earned himself some extra playing time and trust on the offensive end.

Michael Beasley ($1,800)

This is the one spot tonight that I fully intend to take advantage of Fanduel’s adjusted pricing. After sitting out the first two games of the series in favor of the struggling Mirza Teletovic, Jason Kidd elected to give Beasley a chance in game three. He came in for 20 minutes and even though he committed 5 fouls, he still managed to produce 13 points, 3 rebounds and a block. While those numbers are far from eye-popping, recording 16.6 FDP while priced at $1,800 is almost 10x value…in 20 minutes. He was hot from the field (5-9, 3-3 3PT), so I fully expect Jason Kidd to ride Beasley in the second unit as a scoring machine behind Giannis. I see no reason why Michael Beasley can’t flirt with at least 10x value as long as he gets his 20 minutes tonight, something I see to be extremely likely, while giving you more flexibility to fit some studs in the rest of your roster.



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