Value Plays for Sunday 2/26/17

We have a nice 6 game slate for this Sunday afternoon. All the games are supposed to be relatively close which should make the lines less chalky today. Let’s dive into some value!

  1. Ish Smith $4,500- I really like Ish tonight for many reasons. First off he’s been getting a lot more minutes lately as the Pistons have realized Reggie Jackson’s knees aren’t the same before his injury. Second, the Pistons are playing the Celtics, he will be guarding Isaiah Thomas who is an excellent scorer and very quick. Which is why Ish Smith will be playing a lot tonight because he has the speed to stay with Thomas and to attack the Celtics defense to keep the game close. Third reason is a lot of people will be on Cojo tonight if Kyle Lowry is ruled out. Smith will be a nice pivot off Cojo, especially if Cojo has a poor game. Lastly, as a Pistons fan I realize Smith’s impact when he’s in the game. The offense runs smoother and they are able to spread the other team out a lot more. Smith’s last game against the Celtics he played 19 minutes and scored 21.6 FD points. Look for him to get around 25 minutes and 25 FD points tonight. At $4,500 Smith only needs 22.5 FD points for him to hit value.
  2. Alex Abrines $3,600- Victor Oladipo has been ruled out tonight. Abrines slide into the starting lineup last game Dipo was out. He played 29 minutes and scored 21.4 FD points. Abrines is a great shooter with a great opportunity against New Orleans tonight. At $3,600 he only needs 18 points to hit value.
  3. P.J. Tucker $4,700- Tucker had a great debut with the Raptors in his first game. He scored 28.5 FD points and played 29 minutes. He’s a solid rebounder and capable scorer. He has a nice matchup tonight with the Blazers. I believe he will get some easy rebounds and easy points tonight against the Blazer front court. At $4,700 he only needs 23.5 FD points to hit value.
  4. Jusuf Nurkic $5,500- There isn’t too much to say about Nurkic. His price still isn’t where it should be, so I’m going to be taking advantage of that tonight. He has a great matchup with Valcuinas and the Raptors. In his last game he scored 40.9 FD points and played in 34 minutes. At $5,500 Nurkic only needs 27.5 FD points to hit value.

As always keep it locked in to @forcastMD on twitter for injury news!

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