We’re finally back in business folks. It’s been a long week with no NBA DFS, but it’s finally back!!! Unless you live under a rock, you already know of the huge trades that have went down during the All-Star Break. Boogie teaming up with AD should be so much fun to watch. By the way, what the hell was that deal? Kings gave up a diamond for a bag of shit. Anyways, another deal I liked was Houston trading for Lou Williams. Just added one of the better pure scorers in the game to a team that could already put up points!! Hell, I’m writing this at 11:00 PM on Wednesday night, so we still have 15 more hours until the Trade Deadline is here. There might have been some more trades that have gone down by the time you’re reading this! If any more do in fact go down that mess with Thursday’s slate, I’m sure someone on the Fantasy Forecast team will have you covered.
Anyways, in this First Glance article, I’m simply going to give you guys my early thoughts of the slate. I’m going to take a look at both DraftKings AND Fanduel, because the sites really do differ from each other. I also know a lot of people who play both, so this way this article will be for everyone! Whether it’s matchups or some pricing that sticks out, this is just my ‘first glance’ thoughts. It’s just something to get your mind churning in the morning! Let’s get to it!!
Personally, I stick to DraftKings. I feel like I have a really good grasp on the MPE and roster construction on this site. See on Fanduel, everyone has to play 2 PG’s, SG’s, SF’s, and PF’s and 1 C. That just isn’t the case on DraftKings. If you can figure out the MPE on DK, then you’ll find success.
Nikola Vucevic – Playing center’s against Portland is definitely the optimal move. Portland gives up the 4th most points against opposing centers. With the full week off, Vuc should be in a fantastic spot.
Damian Lillard – Orlando gives up the 5th most FDP to opposing PG’s. Plus, POR is now without Aminu, Turner, and Plumlee. He’ll have high usage in what should be a nice game to target.
Andre Drummond – Charlotte is also not very good against opposing centers (47.7). Also account for the fact that the only true bigs they have healthy are Frank Kaminsky and Marvin Williams, Drummond should have a field day on the boards.
James Harden – This isn’t really a DvP write up with Harden. It’s just that Harden is in the best spot out of all the studs. Even though NO isn’t awful (they aren’t good either) against the PG/SG position, they play fast. Gaining Boogie might slow them down a bit, but Harden still has the best matchup amongst the studs.
Tristan Thompson – New York is still without Joakim Noah down low. With or without him, they aren’t very good against opposing centers (47.5 FDP/Game). TThom has had a double double every game since KLove went out with his knee surgery. Looks like another great spot for him to get another one.
Derrick Rose – We all know Kyrie Irving isn’t a good defender. Cleveland as a whole doesn’t guard the PG position well at all (5th worst). After the long week off, DRose should be rested and ready to go. Look for him to have a nice night.
Courtney Lee – Remember, this is purely a write up about who has good matchups. I’m not saying Lee is an amazing play (because it’s Courtney Lee), but he is in a great spot. Cleveland gives up the 3rd most FDP to opposing shooting guards. He could surprise and he’s cheap across the industry. (He has an illness, but is expected to play)
Darren Collison, Tyreke Evans, Willie Cauley-Stein – I’m just going to combine these guys because we know Denver is a team you can target everywhere. Plus, with Boogie being dealt away, all that usage has to go somewhere.
Things That Stick Out
DeMarcus Cousins + Anthony Davis – See, we know to attack Houston’s defense, but this is a situation I’ll probably stay away from on Thursday. At that price, there’s just too much uncertainty around this situation. It really is a great spot for both of these guys, but we don’t even know what the offense will look like. If I had to pick one, I’d go with AD. He’s cheaper + he doesn’t have to get acclimated to a new offense.
Other New Orleans News – First of all, take a look at that depth chart. E’twuan Moore is the ONLY shooting guard on the roster. They have 8 big guys. This tells me that Moore is just going to HAVE to play at least a good amount of minutes in a premier matchup AND he’s basically minimum price! Also, look for another trade tomorrow for NO. There’s no way they’ll be able to run with the roster they have right now.
Sacramento Kings – Obviously, there’s going to be A TON of shake up with the Kings. Like I mentioned, Collison + WCS will be very good plays against Denver. You also have Evans + Hield that are interesting too. Tyreke Evans is staying on his 25-27 minute restriction, but it’s a great matchup and he is a good player. Buddy Hield, or the next Steph Curry (I guess?????), is intriguing too. They obviously love him, so they’ll obviously going to play him. I’m interested to get a view at his minutes, but like I mentioned, it’s a plus matchup. Overall, the Kings have SO MANY value plays. Picking the right one’s will be key.
Value, Value, Value – With the trades circling (and injuries), there’s an opportunity to get a ton of value on this slate. Moore, WCS, Evans, Hield, Gary Harris, Lee, Aaron Gordon ect all will open up the opportunity to fit either Harden, Steph, LBJ, Jokic, AD, Boogie ect. Picking the right value + studs could be the blueprint to taking down a GPP.
Chris Paul News – CP3 has been cleared to play, which could change this slate. If he plays, it helps everyone in this game, solely because it’ll have a better chance to stay close.
My Early Lineup Thoughts
Over on DraftKings, I love to build a core 4 of players that I plug into every GPP lineup. If my core 4 hits, I’ll have a huge night. Right now, it’s looking like I might go cheap with my core 4, then sprinkle in different studs throughout. I’m thinking E’Twaun Moore ($3400) and Willie Cauley-Stein ($3600) are pure locks. I love them for cash and GPP’s. Obviously we don’t know about injury/trade news at this time, but I also really like Aaron Gordon ($4900), Gary Harris ($5200), Tyreke Evans ($4200), and obviously James Harden ($12,500). I’ve never been a fan of “coring” a stud, because if he doesn’t go off, then ALL my lineups would be dead. Obviously, these are just some early thoughts and a lot could change by lock tomorrow, but these are some of the guys that REALLY stick out to me. There’s a good chance, unless some other major news comes out before lock, that some combination of these guys will be my core 4.
Hopefully this First Glance write-up will give you all an idea of how to attack the slate! With the trade deadline tomorrow, you really need to keep an eye on social media or some sort of news outlet to see if any major trades go down. On this slate we have guys like DRose, Melo, Blake Griffin, Andre Drummond, and Nikola Vucevic who have all had trade rumors surrounding them. If anything major goes down, the Fantasy Forecast team will have you backed up and will provide any information you need. If you have any other DFS related questions, shoot them to my personal twitter account (@breeden_bryce) or the Fantasy Forecast twitter account (@FanForecast) and we’ll get that taken care for you! Thanks for reading and happy grinding!!