Value Plays Thursday 2/2/17

A short 4 game slate tonight, with the Hawks,76ers, Warriors and Clippers all on 2nd legs of back-to-backs. Already there has been plenty of injury news Julius Randle looks to be out again, Aldridge has been ruled out for the Spurs and Draymond Green won’t be playing for the Warriors. This shifts things but, luckily enough there’s plenty of value on the slate to dive into!

1.Tony Parker $4,500 – I actually really like Parker tonight. He’s a great spot for some salary relief and with the 76ers on the back end of a back to back without Embiid I think this game will be a blowout. Good news is Parker will get his early and getting 20 plus FD points from him could go a long way. Spurs can be tough to roster because Coach Pop sits his vets randomly, check in and make sure he’s playing before locking him in.

2.Tim Hardaway Jr. $4,900 – THJ is one of those guys that in order to hit value needs his shot falling. Good news is he’s fairly cheap considering he has a high ceiling. This game against Houston will be fast paced and THJ will most likely have Harden guarding him. Look for him to get some buckets. He’s only in play if Sefolosha is out, check this out before locking him in.

3.Andre Iguodala $4,400 – With Draymond being ruled out look for Iggy to possibly get some more run with the starters. While this may hurt him a little, I expect his minutes to increase some tonight. In a fast paced game look for Iggy to hit value. Before last night he scored 20 or more FD points in three straight games. That’s what we would need out of him again tonight.

4. Markieff Morris $7,500 – Here I am writing about Markieff Morris again…. this dude is a baller. He has another favorable match-up again tonight and even with his price rising I’m not afraid to lock him in my line. He’s gone over 28 FD points in 12/13 of his last games. AT $7,500 he would need 37.5 to hit 5x value which is very reasonable. If Julius Randle is out again the Lakers could start Tarik Black like last game and he will get DESTROYED by Morris. Although the spread is currently at 11 points in favor of the Wiz, I expect Morris to do his thing and end up around 40 FD points.

5.Ivica Zubac $4,700 – His price has gone up but, he still makes for a great play tonight. In his last 3 games he’s played more than 20 minutes, he’s in line to do the same again tonight against the Wizards. With Randle out the Lakers are short-handed in the front court. Zubac is very productive and could do some damage against Gortat.

6. Dewayne Dedmon $3,600 -With LMA and Pau out tonight Dedmon on paper is in a great spot. But, one thing I learned is never trust Coach Pop. Dedmon is min priced, has a great match-up and should get nice minutes due to injuries. One concern is started last game against OKC and played only 17 minutes but, tonight there’s not as many options. I think he gets at least 20 minutes and hits value but, you have to be a little risky because he could easily barely play.


As always keep an eye out for @ForecastMD for your latest injury reports!

 

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