NBA Advice For Friday, January 20th

Let me start this out by saying tonight’s slate looks like absolute madness. There are studs everywhere, value plays everywhere and an over/under thats 241 right now in Houston (I just placed a bet on the under). I’ve had injuries each of the last 3 nights but am still managing a 3 game win streak right now. Tony Parker killed my potential huge night of profit last night as I put up 311 with a big fat goose egg from him but i’ll take still cashing. Let me try to break this slate down for you guys. Also, I will not be on twitter tonight.

Point Guard

Stud: Damian Lillard @ PHI $8400

Contrarian pick especially for cash, but he’s my top overall target at PG tonight if you choose to pay up. Curry is definitely playable, but draws a terrible matchup against one of the leagues best defenders in Patrick Beverley.

Mid-tier: Patrick Beverley vs GS $5700

He’s been stuffing the stat sheet as of late and with the over/under sitting at 241 tonight, there is a STRONG possibility this trend will continue. I also like Elfrid Payton again tonight due to the Magic’s backcourt being completely hammered with injuries right now.

Value Play: Darren Collison @ MEM $4700

Lawson is out and Rudy Gay is out for the season. Look for Collison to play heavy minutes tonight. Cash game lock for myself tonight.

Shooting Guard

Stud: James Harden vs GS $12,200

I don’t need to break my reasoning down on this one.

Mid-tier: Klay Thompson @ HOU $6400

When in doubt, target a guy thats team total is projected for 120+ points.

Value Play: Garrett Temple @ MEM $4100

Same goes for Temple as it does with Collison, expect extra run tonight with all the injuries.

Small Forward

Stud: Kevin Durant @ HOU $10500

I’m on the fade KD bandwagon tonight. Hopefully it doesn’t burn me but there is a lot of value at SF tonight. If you roster him you should have no worries about him hitting his value.

Mid-tier: Aaron Gordon vs MIL $5000

Without Fournier and Meeks tonight, Gordon should be heavily involved in Orlando’s offense against the Bucks.

Value Play: Brandon Ingram vs IND $4200

All signs are pointing to Luol Deng being out tonight. Ingram gets the heavy bump if this is indeed the case.

Power Forward

Stud: Anthony Davis vs BKN $11900

Ok, this is why I’m fading KD tonight. Am I terrified of an injury? Absolutely. Do I think it’s worth rostering him in this elite matchup? Absolutely. I’m in on AD tonight. High risk, high reward but the matchup is too good to pass up.

Mid-tier: Serge Ibaka vs MIL $6200

Ibaka torched the Bucks last time and with Fournier ruled out, his usage rate should be high enough to make him a safe cash play tonight.

Value Play: JaMychal Green vs SAC $4600

Risky play here, but he’s been seeing decent minutes and will be facing a banged up Kings team.

Center

Stud: DeMarcus Cousins @ MEM $10600

He’s still underpriced in my opinion. I’m looking to spend elsewhere in cash tonight at Center, but Boogie is an elite GPP play tonight and will definitely be in a few of my tournament lines.

Mid-tier: Jonas Valanciunas @ CHA $5700

No Patrick Patterson and no Lucas Nogueira tonight allows J-Val to get an extra bump in usage. Note Jared Sullinger made his Raptors debut the other night and played well in limited minutes, but look for the Raptors to ease him into his role, leaving J-Val with the bulk of the minutes tonight.

Value Play: Kosta Koufos @ MEM $3500

If you haven’t noticed, I like a lot of Kings as value plays tonight as they should all get extra run. Koufos started last game and should look to see 20-30 minutes again tonight. He’s risky, but the upside is there to exceed value if you absolutely need to spend the minimum at center tonight.

Good Luck tonight everybody!

 

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