Value Plays for Thursday 1/19/17

Key for how much I like a play:
-MILD
-MEDIUM
-HOT

PG
Austin Rivers $5,600- With Chris Paul being sidelined for at least 6 weeks, River’s will be stepping into the starting role. FD has adjusted his price because of the Paul injury making Rivers a little pricey IMO. The clippers are a mess, with both Paul and Griffin out their lone super star DeAndre Jordan is the only thing they have left. The good news with River’s is that he gets a ton of minutes, in his last 7 games he’s played they’ve all been over 30 minutes. This trend will continue with Paul out, Rivers is a HOT play for tonight.

Tony Parker $4,700- If you want to get a little more sneaky TP is your guy. The starting point guard for the Spurs has hit over 20 FD points in 9/11 last 11 games, making him a consistent option for tonight. The Spurs will be playing the Nuggets tonight who struggle against pgs. I like Parker tonight, especially if you think the game stays close. This is a MEDIUM play for tonight.

Someone else to keep an eye on is Raymond Felton $5,500. He should get some more minutes with Paul being out.

SG
Devin Booker $6,400-  Booker is really turning into a super star, but he has a knock and it’s that he can only score. He’s scored 20 or more points in 7/8 games which is impressive but, if he can’t score it’s hard for him to get points another way. I’m not too worried about that though tonight against the Cavs. The area the Cavs struggle to defend is against the shooting guard making Booker a good play tonight. Last week against the Cavs, Booker played 45 minutes, scored 28 points and went for 42 FD points. Booker is a MEDIUM play for tonight. (Only because there’s a lot of options at SG tonight)

Zach LaVine $6,200- Another player that benefits from a lot of minutes. In his last 9 he’s played in 29 minutes or more in all of those games. He’s been off the last couple games but, I fully expect him to get back on track tonight. This game will be up tempo and that’s where LaVine thrives. This is a MEDIUM play for tonight.

Will Barton $5,300- It looks like Gary Harris and Wilson Chandler will both be out tonight which will give Barton a lot of minutes. In his last game he played 35 minutes, scored 26 points and put up 41.8 FD points. These extra minutes will help Barton. This is a MEDIUM play for tonight.

Watch out for JJ Redick and Jamal Crawford tonight. With Paul out they will need some scoring.

SF
Mindaugas Kuzminskas $3,900- Looks like Porzingis will be out again which will leave some minutes available. Kuzminskashas been taking advantage of those minutes hitting more than 26 FD points in 3/4 games. This is a MEDIUM play tonight.

PF
Markieff Morris $6,100- If Porzingis is out I fully expect Morris to have a great game. In his last 6 games Morris has posted 31 or more FD points in 5 of those games. His minutes are also pretty consistent coming in at mid 30s. I really like for Morris to go off tonight, making him a HOT play.

Gorgui Dieng $5,700- DeAndre Jordon will be busy with Karl Anthony-Towns and that leaves no one able to match-up with Dieng. Depending on how close this game stays I believe he will be close to value. This is a MEDIUM play for tonight.

Kenneth Faried $5,600- Faried is starting to find himself again and it’s been good to see. He used to be one of my favorite players to watch because he had so much energy. His last 3 games he’s had more than 27 FD points and has played 30 minutes or more in 2/3 of those games. I like for that trend to continue tonight against the spurs. LMA isn’t the same player he used to be and I think Faried out hustles him tonight. He is a MEDIUM play tonight.

C
Tyson Chandler $5,400- Chandler says he will play tonight against the Cavs even though he sat out last game with an illness. In Chandlers last 8 games he’s hit more than 20 FD points in all 8. He’s a very consistent player and in his last game against the Cavs he posted a double-double with 29 FD points. If the Sun’s can keep it close look for the same production out of Chandler, he’s a MEDIUM play for tonight.

Guillermo Hernangomez $3,600- This play is only if Joakim Noah is out again tonight. Since Kyle O’Quinn was a major bust last night Hernangomez is a better solution. He most likely won’t start but, he makes use of his minutes. Last night in 21 minutes of playing time he posted a double-double and scored 30.7 FD points. This is strictly only if Noah is out so keep an eye on that, he is a MILD play for tonight.

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