Value Plays for Tuesday 1/17/17

Tonight Harden will be very high owned as he is the only Star on this slate. This is obviously in terms of DFS value but, with Harden priced at $12,200 and the next closest is Jimmy Butler at $9,500 that means you will be able to afford higher priced players tonight without digging too deep into value. It’s critical to pick the right value so your lineups perform. Here are my value plays today.

How I rank the plays for tonight
– MILD
– MEDIUM
– HOT

PG

Emmanuel Mudiay $4,500- If you’ve learned anything from my articles you know I love starting players for cheap. Mudiay played 36 minutes last night, has a great match-up tonight with D Russell guarding him and Vegas likes this game as the highest scoring on the slate. I’m only concerned because of the amount of minutes the Nuggets starters played in a blowout last night. Mudiay is a MEDIUM play for tonight.

Spencer Dinwiddie $4,000- Another starting point guard for cheap and even though he’s starting for the Net’s there still is a lot of value here. He’s been playing minutes in the mid 20s and at $4,000 he can hit value easy. Just last week when the Nets played the Raptors Dinwiddie hit 22.4 FD points. But, who knows how this game will shake out so Dinwiddie is a MILD play for tonight.
Jameer Nelson $3,600- The other Nuggets point guard, I like Nelson tonight because of the minutes he’s been getting lately. He played 32 minutes last night and at $3,600 he will easily hit value against the Lakers. This game will be very fast paced and has a high o/u. Look for Nelson to get around 25 minutes and hit value. This is a HOT play for tonight.

SG
Wes Matthews $5,500- Matthews has played over 30 minutes in 6 straight games. He needs every minute in order to hit value. But, with Butler guarding Barnes that leaves Wade to cover Matthews. This game won’t be high scoring but, look for Matthews to make his presence felt. He is a MEDIUM play for tonight.
Will Barton $4,800- With Gary Harris doubtful with an injury tonight look for Barton to slide into his starting spot. But, even if he doesn’t start Barton will pick up most of his minutes. Barton does a lot of things well which makes it easy for him to get FD points. The Laker’s SGs don’t scare me one bit which make Barton a HOT play for tonight. Keep an eye out for injury news.

SF
DeMarre Carroll $4,600- Carroll is a jack of all trades kind of player and while he isn’t known for his offensive ability look for him to score a little more tonight. In his game against the Nets last week he posted a double-double with 31.2 FD points. The Nets players will be locked in defensively to Lowry and Derozan. Leaving Carroll with open shots and he’ll stuff the stat sheet to hit value tonight. He is a HOT play for tonight.

PF
Kenneth Faried $4,300- Power forward is probably the deepest position for tonight’s slate. There are a lot of different options to go with but, in terms of value and price  Faried is the best option. His minutes haven’t been consistent this year but, he’s also been injured. Last night he posted 33 FD points in 33 minutes. Darnell Arthur has been ruled out tonight and look for Faried to take advantage of that. This is a MEDIUM play for tonight.

C

Lucas Nogueira $3,800- If Patterson is ruled out again with a knee injury look for Nogueira to start in his place. When Patterson has been out and Nogueira has started he’s been getting good minutes (over 30). Last week when the Raptors played the Nets Nogueira hit 29.8 FD points. If he starts he’s a steal for $3,800. Check on this before lock though.

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