Value Plays for 1/15/17

Key for how much I like a play
-Mild
-Medium
-Hot

PG
Patrick Beverley $5,100- The Nets are one of the worst defenders against point guards. Beverley isn’t the greatest offensive threat but, the poor Nets defense makes Beverley an intriguing option. Also, Beverley’s defensive skills against a poor Nets back court should lead to some easy FD points. Beverley is a MEDIUM play for tonight.

Jordan Clarkson $4,000- With plenty of stars on the slate tonight you need to find some value somewhere. I think Clarkson is a perfect place to look . His last 4 games he’s gone over 15 pts 4/4 times. Doesn’t seem like much but, at least he won’t put up a complete dud. The thing is I believe Clarkson will have a good game and hit 6x value easy tonight. The Pistons aren’t a great defensive team and the high paced tempo which will create a high scoring game. Clarkson gets mid 20 minutes and is a HOT play tonight.

Others I like– MCW, Darren Collison and Spencer Dinwiddie

SG
Victor Oladipo $5,700- This is another high paced game for tonight. The kings are one of the worst defensive teams. Garrett Temple is a good defender but, overall the Kings play awful defense. I believe Oladipo will have plenty of opportunities to do everything and will be close to value. This play is MILD for tonight.

Eric Gordon $5,700- As I stated earlier the Nets are an awful at defense and with a high paced tempo it’ll be easy for Gordon to score with ease. Gordon’s price is sort of high so with his ceiling being pretty low it’ll be hard for him to hit value unless he goes off offensively. This play is MILD for tonight.

Others I like– Lou Williams, Sean Kilpatrick and Reggie Bullock

SF
Trevor Ariza $5,600- Another Rocket on my value plays but, rightfully so. The high tempo and good match-up will put Ariza in a good spot tonight. This play is MEDIUM for tonight.

Marcus Morris $4,700- Morris has hit 16 FD points in last 6 games. He’s a streaky player but, I like him tonight against the Lakers. He will be matched up with Ingram and Deng. Look for Morris’ jump shot to be falling tonight and for him to be close to value. This play is MEDIUM for tonight.

Bojan Bogdanovic $4,400– Bogdanovic had a bad game last time out which I didn’t see coming but, I’m hoping he turns it around today. He’s someone that will be in my lines because he’s been starting as of late, he gets mid 20 minutes and this tempo of the game will be very fast paced. This play is HOT for tonight.

PF
Tobias Harris $5,800- Harris’ price tag is the highest I’ve mentioned for value but, is worth it tonight. With Leuer out Harris is back in his starting role and playing huge minutes which includes over 34 minutes in his last 4 games. In his last 11 games he’s scored 27 FD points and above 9 times. Randle is a decent defender but, I think he works harder on offense which Harris will take advantage of. Harris is an excellent play tonight and should hit value in this up tempo paced game. This play is HOT for tonight.

Ryan Anderson $5,000- I don’t like rostering Anderson because you never know what you’re going to get. On paper I like this match-up because the high pace allows for Anderson to slip off and hit some open 3’s. But, you never know who will get hot, which is why you could throw Anderson in a gpp. This play is MILD for tonight.

Trevor Booker $5,400– With Lopez out tonight look for booker to be more active in the game. The question is how much will he get to play? If this is a blow out the starters could sit. He could make for a great gpp option if the Nets keep it close. This is a MEDIUM play for tonight.

C
Montrezl Harrell $5,200– Notice a theme? I have mentioned a Rockets player at every position! Their prices seem reasonably low for this match-up creating some value for us. Harrell’s minutes depend on how the game is going and his price tag is too high to do that. There is some value here though because Harrell hit 30 FD points just 2 games ago. But, playing the guessing game on whether this game stays close and he shows up to play makes him more of a gpp option. This play is MILD for tonight.

Boban Marjanovic $3,800– Boban is worth a gpp shot tonight. He’s played in more than 10 minutes his last 3 games. Coach Stan Van Gundy has said he’s working to get him some minutes because of his recent play. Also, Mozgov is an awful excuse for a starting center and I think Boban will get a shot to showcase his talents, it’s just a question of how many minutes he’ll get. This play is MILD for tonight.

Nene $3,700– Depends on how Harrell plays tonight but, for that price there’s a shot he can hit value. He’s starting tonight but, usually sticks around 20 minutes of playing time.  Against Justin Hamilton I have no issues playing him. This is a MEDIUM play tonight.

 

 

 

 

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