Well last night’s core four were disappointing to say the least, but I’ve got a really good feeling about today’s group for a nice sized NBA slate tonight.
The major fantasy news around the NBA today is that Kris Dunn is going to likely start in place of Ricky Rubio while he is out indefinitely. Dunn is currently only $4,000 on Fanduel, making him a virtual lock in all formats given his ability to fill up the box score, but I am going to refrain from including him in the Core Four because I feel that he is too obvious of a play.
While we look for a bounce-back after a disappointing night last night, here are the Core Four for the Fantasy Forecast lineup tonight:
Anthony Davis | $11,000
All of the studs have plus matchups tonight, but Anthony Davis is my favorite by far. The Milwaukee Bucks, while very long, don’t possess the biggest forwards. They start 6’8″ Jabari Parker at the four, and have a rotating door of mediocre defenders at the five. Through their first three games of the season, they’ve allowed an average of 20.2 points and 12.4 rebounds per game to opposing power forwards and allow an average of 42.6 FD points per game to the position. In their last game against the Pistons, they surrendered 20 points and 23 rebounds to Andre Drummond. If you haven’t noticed, Anthony Davis has been torrid to start the season, and should have no problem matching, if not exceeding those numbers tonight.
Damian Lillard | $9,900
Speaking of players who have been scorching to start the season, let’s talk about Damian Lillard. He has yet to put up less that 40 FD points in a game this season, he’s averaging over 36 minutes per game, and he’s posted point totals of 39, 29, and 37. Maybe he was serious about that MVP goal, huh. Last season, he diced up the Warriors for averages of 36.5 ppg, 6.5 assists, and 2.3 steals per game in 4 games against the Warriors last season. With Dame’s size advantage on Steph Curry, the inflated over/under of this game, and his added motivation this season, I expect him to have an absolute field day tonight to help keep Portland competitive in this game.
Klay Thompson | $5,800
I’m extremely high on stacking the POR/GS game tonight since the over under is sitting north of 220, and finding Klay Thompson for $5,800? LOCK. Klay has been hot garbage to start the season, shooting a paltry 14.3% from beyond the arc after going 0-6 in his last game. Over his career, Thompson is a 41% shooter from beyond the arc, so he’s sure to find success sooner rather than later, and with such a high-octane matchup tonight, there’s a very high chance this could be his breakout game. It’s going to be almost impossible for Klay to not shatter value tonight, as he’s priced almost $2,000 lower than he normally is. Take advantage while you can.
Joel Embiid | $4,500
Embiid isn’t the safest option tonight, but he’s locked into my cash lineup nonetheless. Embiid’s minutes have been extremely limited (22 in game 1, 15 in the second game), but his production in those minutes has been outstanding. He posted 20/7 in his first game and a 14 point, 2 rebound, 2 block performance in only 15 minutes in his second game. He faces an Orlando Magic team that recently surrendered 18 points and 14 rebounds in 31 minutes to the Heat’s Hassan Whiteside, a player with an eerily similar skill set and play style to that of Embiid. With it being the first game of a back-to-back, Embiid is expected to play tonight and sit tomorrow, meaning that he may even see a bit more minutes than usual tonight. Expect some nice production for an extremely reasonable price out of Embiid tonight.