It’s been quite some time since I’ve written an article for MLB, but I can’t stay away forever. I had no intentions of writing an article tonight, especially after Derek (@MonstarsDFS) cranked out a beauty, but after looking over the slate and looking at some GPP ideas, there are a few pitchers that I want to discuss briefly, because they are the three I’m torn between as I write this article. As always, if you have any questions, feel free to tweet at our main page (@FanForecast) or me personally (@JMetz34) with your questions and we’ll do what we can to answer them all.
Here are the three pitchers that I am looking at in tournament formats tonight.
Julio Teheran | $8,200 | @ NYM
While none of the three pitchers I am going to highlight can be classified as safe, Teheran is likely the “safest” option out of the bunch. He’s had a rough last couple games, giving up 7 runs in his last 11.1 innings pitched, but has a somewhat enticing matchup tonight. He gets a bit of a park upgrade as he heads to Citi Field to take on the division rival Mets. In 2016 against the Mets, Teheran has posted a 0.78 ERA with 17 strikeouts in 23 innings pitched while allowing only 2 earned runs. The Mets are also rather depleted without David Wright, Lucas Duda or Neil Walker as they send out a less than stellar lineup tonight. Teheran comes in as the slight +105 underdog tonight in a game with an o/u of 8 runs, which might scare a bit of his ownership away, making him even more appealing. He is fully capable of getting you 6-7 innings of 1-2 run ball with 7 strikeouts and upside for more, and for $8,200 he also allows room for Coors bats. If you’re looking for the “safe” cheaper option tonight, Teheran is your guy.
Joe Musgrove | $7,200 | @ OAK
Musgrove is quickly becoming my favorite option while I write this article. He’s definitely burned me in the past, but he has a ton of potential tonight. Fresh off of a 43 point Fanduel performance against the Rangers, Musgrove gets a nice park upgrade as he sets his sights on the Oakland A’s in the Coliseum tonight. The last time he faced the A’s? 5.1 shutout innings with 7 punch outs. Musgrave’s recent exit velocity has been rather impressive recently (89 mph) to go along with a reasonable 31% hard-contact percentage. The A’s have also been striking out more than usual as of late, adding incentive for Musgrove. As the -130 favorite, he is quickly becoming my favorite GPP option tonight.
Sean Manaea | $6,800 | vs HOU
Manaea is a really tough pitcher to peg. NEVER use him on the road. That is rule #1. Luckily, he finds himself in the friendly confines of the O.Co Coliseum tonight against the strikeout prone Houston Astros. At home this season, Manaea has a 3.26 ERA with an opponent batting average of .227 and wOBA of .295. For $6,800 those are extremely impressive numbers. The biggest red flag tonight? Oakland seems determined to rest Manaea as much as possible. He’s been kept under 70 pitches in his last two starts and against an offense like Houston that is so boom-or-bust, if the boom side happens, he could see much less than 70 pitches tonight. Manaea is easily the riskiest of the three options in this article, but he provides the highest strikeout upside. If you really want to go uber-cheap, consider locking Sean Manaea in.
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