It’s been a while since I’ve had time to produce an article, but with my summer job officially over and a week before I venture back to school for my final year, I’ll be writing a lot more going forward.
Tonight we have a nice main slate with an array of pitching options, headed by the Washington Nationals’ super-ace Stephen Strasburg.
Strasburg has been nothing short of phenomenal this season for the Nationals. They have won 18 of his 20 starts this season and while his home ERA of 3.35 is actually higher than his road ERA, Strasburg has still been able to punch out 89 batters in 75.1 innings and keep his WHIP under 1 (0.98). He’s allowing his lowest HR/9 rate in the last 3 season at 0.88 HR/9 and has held opposing batters to a mere .192 average with a beautiful 25.1 hard contact percentage. His opponents, the San Francisco Giants, do not punch out a lot, but that will be offset by Strasburg’s dazzling 30.7 K% and the fact that the Giants rank 17th in wOBA and 26th in isolated power against right-handed pitchers. While his price is up there on both sites ($11,600 on Fanduel, $11,900 on Draftkings), you’re getting what you pay for as Strasburg is the premier pitching option tonight, but I would refrain from calling him a necessity.
If you aren’t interested in paying up for Strasburg with Coors on the slate, there are a couple of other pitching options that I am currently considering.
Carlos Martinez finds himself in arguably the most favorable matchup of the day as the Cardinals play host to the Atlanta Braves. While the addition of Matt Kemp certainly helps the lineup, the Braves are downright bad against right-handed pitchers. The Braves rank dead last in runs scored, home runs, RBIs, and isolated power, but also only strike out in 20.7% of their at-bats. Martinez is the highest favorite on the slate with a money line of -253, making him a cash-viable pitcher based on matchup alone.
The pitcher that I’m beginning to like the most tonight finds himself sitting at $9,200 on Fanduel ($100 less that Carlos Martinez) and has a surprisingly favorable matchup against the Kansas City Royals. While there has been constant talk and speculation of moving Aaron Sanchez to the bullpen, Toronto is rolling him out for the start in Kansas City tonight.Over his last two starts, Sanchez has an incredible 64% ground ball rate and a 4% line drive rate and shouldn’t have many issues continuing his dominance against the Royals. While Kansas City doesn’t strike out a ton, they have been doing so more often in the last number of weeks and currently rank 27th in team wOBA and 29th in team ISO against right-handed pitching. He’s backed by one of the most potent offenses in the league, and while he is only the small favorite, I think that he will come on top with the win.
Speaking of the Blue Jays @ Royals game, one pitcher that I am not interested in is Royals’ Danny Duffy. Fresh off of a 16 strikeout performance in Tampa Bay, recency bias is going to be in full effect tonight. The chances of him matching a performance like that are more than slim, and unfortunately, the only way for him to go is down. The Blue Jays strike out at a higher clip, but are also one of the most dangerous offenses in the league, and I have no desire to roster a pitcher against them, especially when they’re as overpriced as Duffy ($9,600 on Fanduel, second most expensive on the entire slate).
Thank you for reading and good luck tonight in your lineup building process. Make sure you follow us on Twitter @JBDailyFantasy to receive our articles, analysis, and lineups!