Batter Breakdown – June 2nd

With a horrible group of pitching options to choose from, most lineups will have more than enough room to stack high-end bats tonight, but the question is, who do you play? We’ve got that covered in our Batter Breakdown for Thursday, June 2nd.

With new writers coming on board we are changing the formats of our articles to give you more in-depth and worthwhile analysis of the players on the slates. For this edition of our batter breakdown, we will highlight a single player that we strongly believe should be in 100% of lineups tonight, elite plays, and value-plays. You will notice that most of the top plays are Rockies players (what’s new), and that most all of the value players are…Padres?

Play of the Day

Nolan Arenado | COL | $4,600

He’s been considered a must-play in my mind the past two nights, one in which he exploded for 50.6 Fantasy points thanks to a pair of home runs, and then last night in which he could muster only a single (3 fantasy points). Tonight I expect a huge turnaround. While his price remains high at $4,600, the array of pitching options and their cheap prices will make Arenado rather easy to fit into almost any lineup. The Rockies, at home, welcome Alfredo Simon, owner of a 9.6 ERA and a pitcher who has allowed 64 hits in 40 innings. Arenado checks in with a .287 ISO (a measure of how often a player hits for extra bases) which is higher than most players’ batting averages. If you add that to the fact that Alfredo Simon is giving up 2 HR per 9 innings and has a WHIP of 2.058, you can see why Arenado is our must-play of the day. Lock him in with confidence tonight.

Elite Plays

Xander Bogaerts | BOS | $4,100

Any time a player is on a 25 game hitting streak his price is obviously going to soar, but $4,100 is not too bad for a player of Bogaerts’ caliber. If you are going a more contrarian route and avoiding a Coors stack, then Bogaerts would be my number one play. Thanks to his hitting streak, he is batting .347 on the season with 24 of his 77 hits going for extra bases. He faces Ubaldo Jimenez tonight, who has been nothing more than brutal this season. Jimenez boasts a 6.36 ERA with a WHIP of 1.8, rivaling Alfredo Simon as the worst pitcher on the slate. He walks 5.2 batters per 9 innings. While all of the attention may be on Mookie Betts tonight, there are other OFs who come in as better plays, while Xander Bogaerts checks in as the premier shortstop on today’s main slate.

Carlos Gonzalez | COL | $4,300

I can’t remember the last time I saw a player go from being priced at under $3,000 to being priced at over $4,000 a week and a half later. Part of that is due to him being back at home in Coors Field, but the other factor is his recent play. Below shows the damage that Cargo has done over his past 10 games.

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He’s been a home run machine and has tallied at least one base knock in 10 consecutive games. I already covered Alfredo Simon in this article, so if you are not rostering BOTH Arenado and Cargo tonight, you might end up having quite a hard time cashing.

Value Plays (The Padres)

Wil Myers | SD | $3,100

While fantasy players love to target the Padres when rostering a starting pitcher, tonight is much different. The Padres are a brutal bunch against RHP, but they draw a lefty tonight in Wade Miley. Miley’s last outing wasn’t too impressive, lasting only 4 innings against the Twins (that should give you more than enough hope for the Padre bats tonight) while allowing 4 walks and 6 hits. Myers, on the other hand, has been trending in the opposite direction. He put on a show at the plate last night, posting 37.9 fantasy points thanks to a 3-4 outing coming up a triple short of the cycle. Myers has recorded a base hit in 5 of his last 6 games and comes in batting .321 on the season against left-handed pitchers with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs in 56 at-bats. The Padres are a group that are rather underrated against LHP, keeping their prices low and allowing Myers to be a top value play for tonight.

Matt Kemp | SD | $3,100

While not many people know much about Myers’ success against lefties, Kemp’s is much more apparent. Throughout this season, Kemp has owned left handed pitching to the tune of a .306 batting average with 5 home runs and 12 RBIs in only 49 at bats. That means 33% of his hits against LHP this season are leaving the yard. Miley’s weaknesses cater right to Matt Kemp. Miley has produced a 1.8 HR/9 rate this season with a career-worst 17.4% HR/FB ratio (17.4% of the fly balls surrendered are going for homers). His ERA sits right below 5, and while he may go in expecting to breeze through this Padres’ batting order, Matt Kemp may have other ideas. At only $3,100, Kemp should virtually be a lock across the board.

 

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