Stack of the Day – May 23rd

The “Stack of the Day” article summarizes two main points; the one pitcher on the slate that should realistically get shelled and should be avoiding at all costs, and the team that has the most potential to have the best offensive showing of the day.

You’d think that the Stack of the Day would usually be a team such as the Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates or Chicago White Sox, but today, the stack of the day is rather unusual; The Philadelphia Phillies.

Any time a team is going up against Mike Pelfrey, they deserve significant consideration in your lineups, especially when their BvP stats are as good as the Phillies’. Im sure you have targeted batters going head to head with Pelfrey on numerous occasions this season and tonight is no different.

On the season, Pelfrey owns 5.49 ERA with a record of 0-4 in 8 starts thus far. In his 41 innings pitched, he has allowed 56 hits, 18 walks and 8 long balls while striking out a pathetic 23 batters. His WHIP is through the roof at 1.80 and his per 9 inning numbers are horrible. He averages 12.3 hits/9 innings pitched, 1.8 HR/9 and 4 BB/9. While those numbers are rather brutal, you should turn your attention to his split stats, especially against lefties. In 87 at-bats against left-handed hitters this season, Pelfrey has surrendered a slash line of .391/.433/.598 with 4 home runs and 16 RBIs, which brings us to the Phillies batters.

Perhaps my favorite Phillies batter to roll out tonight is their aging first baseman Ryan Howard. Although he is batting under .200 on the season, Howard has had a career full of success against Mike Pelfrey. In 45 career at-bats, Howard has recorded 16 hits (a .356 BA), with 3 home runs, 7 RBIs, 10 runs scored and 8 walks. Howard has also been hitting the ball better in the past two weeks, posting the fourth-highest exit velocity among starting first basemen and the highest wOBA differential among the starting first basemen. Assuming that you are rostering Kershaw tonight, Howard is a great way to save money at only $2,300.

While Howard remains at the top of the Phillies stack today, there are a number of others to consider as well. Leadoff man Odubel Herrera is priced rather high at $3,500, but he is an on-base machine. On the season he is batting .325 with 4 HR, 13 RBI, 26 Runs and a ridiculous 31 walks. Against a pitcher like Pelfrey who averages 4 walks per 9 innings pitched, you can expect Herrera to work counts and get on base multiple times today and likely score a run or two.

With Howard expected to fill the DH role in Detroit tonight, there is a good chance that the recently called up Tommy Joseph will get the call at first today for the Phillies. He has very similar upside as Howard, as he demonstrated by cranking a home run in just his third career MLB game. If you are weary of Howard because of his lack of discipline and success at the plate this season, Joseph could be a nice pivot and also comes at the Fanduel minimum of $2,000.

While these three players clock in as my favorite parts of the Phillies stack, don’t be afraid to roster whoever starts between Cameron Rupp and Carlos Ruiz (Ruiz has actually been excellent at the plate this season) and their slugging third baseman Maikel Franco, especially with Pelfrey’s 1.8 HR/9 rate.

Good luck tonight with constructing your lineups and hopefully this article helps you find some value bats if you are rostering Kershaw tonight. Don’t forget to find us on Twitter @JBDailyFantasy and sign up for our lineups at sportsvesment.com!

 

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