MLB Plays of the Day – May 11th

The drought needs to end at some point. Following our string of heightened success in MLB DFS, we are in the midst of experience our worst slump since we’ve started playing DFS. We’ve cashed 5/6 times in the last two weeks. That is horrible and it changes today.

With the MLB slate basically cut in half today with a similar number of games in the early-only and the main slate, we were not able to publish a “Plays of the Day” article for the early slate. For the main slate, we have a 9-game schedule and thank God Coors is not one of the games. If you want to start talking about how much more luck is involved when a Coors game is on the slate we can write another article about that.

Back to the Plays of the Day, for this article we are going back to our traditional format with a pitcher, two infielders and two outfielders who we think deserve to be in lineups today.

Pitcher

Rick Porcello | ($8,400)

With a plethora of elite and mid-tier options tonight, we are going the route of fading Syndergaard and going with a reliable mid-tier pitcher in order to spend up a little bit more on our bats. Porcello has been extremely impressive this season and even dating back to midseason last year. Since then, he’s notched a 9.0 K/9 and an incredible 1.9 BB/9 over his last 17 starts. While Fenway Park tends to be a favorable home run park for hitters, Porcello has faired extremely well at home this season posting Fanduel point totals of 46, 51, 51, and 27. While the 27 points in his last outing clock in as his lowest point total of the season, he still pitched well in that game. He owns a 2.95 ERA and 41 Ks in 39 IP on the season and faces an Oakland offense that has been held in check throughout the series. Porcello should have no problem returning to form against the A’s who are batting .247 as a team and have given up 38 runs over their past 3 games. Expect plentiful run support and strikeouts for Porcello tonight.

Infield

Justin Bour | ($3,200)

A Marlins stack tonight is a good idea. Trust me. Brewers’ RHP Chase Anderson has a record of 1-4 with a 6.44 ERA with a 1.84 WHIP and has given up at least 6 hits with 10 walks in his last 3 games. Last time Anderson pitched against the Marlins, he lasted 4.1 innings while giving up 9 hits and walked 4 batters. Bour is batting .272 with 4 homers and 15 RBIs in 81 at-bats on the season. Bour’s also been crushing the ball lately, hitting a ball to the warning track last night and recently has been batting fifth behind Giancarlo Stanton and Christian Yelich who have been hot at the dish. With the platoon advantage over Anderson and his favorable position in the batting order, Bour comes in as a rather cheap asset that has more than enough potential of out-performing his value.

Xander Bogaerts | ($4,100)

Bogaerts comes in as arguably the hottest shortstop in baseball at the moment. He’s hit safely in 9 out of his last 10 contests with 5 multi-hit games in that stretch. He’s recorded at least 15 Fanduel points in 6 of his last 10 games as well and comes in with an extremely favorable matchup tonight against lefty Eric Surkamp and the Oakland A’s. Surkamp has pitched 19 innings this season, allowing 25 hits while walking 12 and registering a 5.59 ERA. Bogaerts has only had 18 official at-bats this season against Left-handed pitchers, but has gone 8-18 (.444 average) with one double, one home run, 4 RBIs, 2 walks and a stolen base. While the power numbers are still a work in progress, Bogaerts’ ability to get on base and run combined with the favorable matchup make him a must have in the main slate tonight.

Outfield

Gregory Polanco | ($3,400)

 

Speaking of players who are hot, take a look at Gregory Polanco. He actually comes in as my favorite play tonight. Polanco has not gone consecutive games without reaching base this season and has recently been moved from the sixth spot in the batting order up to the third spot. He has his batting average up to .284 with 4 home runs and 19 RBIs (most coming out of the 6 spot) to go along with a robust 21 walks. He, and the Pirates in general, have an extremely favorable matchup with Alfredo Simon and the Cincinnati Reds. Simon has given up 35 hits and 11 walks in 21 innings pitched this season, resulting in him getting tagged with an inflated 9.86 ERA on the season. While is batting average allowed to righties is a ridiculous .358, his batting average allowed to lefties is even higher at .381. He’s given up 5 home runs and 15 RBIs in only 42 at bats against righties and with how successful the Pirates’ hitters have been this season, Simon should be in for a very short outing, while Polanco is due for a huge game.

Alex Gordon | ($2,700)

With all of the rather pricey plays in the article, we view Alex Gordon as a great value play tonight. Gordon, who has had an extremely slow start to the season, Gordon has started to turn things around. He’s hit safely in his last seven consecutive games to go along with 4 runs scored, 2 RBIs, a double, a stolen base and a home run. He hits in the bottom half of the Royals’ batting order which is working a bit against him, but his favorable matchup with right-handed pitcher Michael Pineda cancels that out. Pineda, who had a rather successful 2015 season, has struggled this season. He’s pitched 33 innings while allowing 43 hits and posting a 5.73 ERA. Against left-handed batters this season, Pineda has surrendered a .349 batting average with 8 doubles and 2 home runs over 63 at bats. For only $2,700, Gordon’s arrow is pointing straight up and should be rostered as a great value play tonight.

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